Monthly Archives: May 2004

Losing the Sports Illustrated Voter

Tompaine.com was one of the early truth-squad, good-government sites, a trailblazer, which may be why it seems a little dowdy already. But they keep delivering.

Today it's A Cronkite Moment? in which Jonathan Tasini suggests that SI might be a bellweather today a bit like Walter Cronkite was 46 years ago.

In the May 3 issue of SI, Reilly, in his regular back-page column “The Life of Reilly,” wrote a piece under the headline “The Hero and the Unknown Soldier.” The hero in Reilly's column was Pat Tillman, the former star football player who was killed in Afghanistan. After 9/11, Tillman had given up a multimillion-dollar contract to volunteer for the Army Rangers. He was lionized throughout the country for his sacrifice.

The Unknown Soldier was Todd Bates. Bates drowned in Iraq. His death went virtually unnoticed except to his family and friends. The man who raised Bates, Charles Jones, refused to go to the funeral, refused to eat or relate to others; he died just four weeks after the funeral. “He died of a broken heart,” Bates' grandmother, Shirley, who also raised him, told Reilly. “There was no reason for my boy to die. There is no reason for this war. All we have now is a Vietnam. My Toddie's life was wasted over there. All this war is a waste. Look at all these boys going home in coffins. What's the good in it?” Reilly, in barely controlled rage, concludes his piece about Tillman and Bates:

“Both did their duty for their country, but I wonder if their country did its duty for them. Tillman died in Afghanistan, a war with no end in sight and not enough troops to finish the job. Bates died in Iraq, a war that began with no just cause and continues with no just reason.

Be proud that sports produce men like this.

But I, for one, am furious that these wars keep taking them.”

Reilly, in his eloquence, was expressing opinions already delivered in places like The Nation and op-ed pages around the country. But that's the point. With all due respect, The Nation,—of which I am a subscriber and supporter—and its ilk will not change the course of history because they speak to the already converted.

What's important here is that Reilly's audience is not the typical Nation reader.

Posted in Politics: US | Comments Off on Losing the Sports Illustrated Voter

Iraq Exit Strategy Revisited

As things in and about Iraq go from bad to evil, and the no exit meme takes root (in the Existentialist not the Pottery Barn sense), it may be time to revive my Modest Dinner-Party-Based Proposal For An Iraqi Exit Strategy:

According to the CIA Factbook, Iraq today has an estimated population of just over 24,683,000, and (in 2002) had a GDP estimated at US$58 billion in purchasing power parity, giving it an estimated GDP per capita of about $2,400. …

Counting just the reconstruction grant [$20.3 billion], that makes a subsidy about equal to 40% of Iraq’s former GDP, and about $960 for every Iraqi. Throw in what we are spending to occupy the country, and it’s more than last year’s Iraqi GDP, and about $3,230 per Iraqi.

Having seen these numbers, I’ve now cooked up a modest proposal for a US exit strategy from Iraq. Bring all the troops home. Give each Iraqi $3000 a year for the next year or two, and count on the free market to conduct the reconstruction for us at much greater efficiency than we would otherwise achieve.

I was mostly sorta kidding when I proposed giving every Iraq $3000 and going home, but the idea had legs.

This blog was a baby then and had no readers (now it's a toddler and has 500+ daily readers directly plus I'd guess about 1000 via the full-text feeds), but the idea either got picked up or, more likely, independently imagined by The Onion (which raised it to $3,544.91, a much funnier number).

But of course it isn't that funny any more. They and we have lost lives; the occupation has shamed and humilated both nations (and our troops have retreated, and seem on road to being defeated, with very bad long run consequences). The search is on for an exit strategy. Meanwhile, the projected costs keep going up: The projection for next year is either $50 billion or much more, depending on what day it is); yesterday's estimate was at least $65 billion for 2005 alone.

At $65 billion/year we can give each Iraqi $2,689.65 per year, which is more than the per capita GDP before the war. Compare this to an Iraqi disability pension of between $18-47 per month, or what ABC news touts as the new, way above market Iraqi salaries (for those not unemployed) paid by US contractors — an average wage of $4 to $5 per day.

In my original post, I did note that “We can’t do that until shortly before the election”. Maybe given current events we move up the timetable?

Posted in Iraq | 6 Comments

The Buck Stops Where?

The headline may be Bush Apologizes, Calls Abuse 'Stain' on Nation but we Kremlinologists know the real goodies are elsewhere.

First, the top folks in the State department are intensifying their campaign to redeem themselves, even if this means trashing Bush. Powell's interview with GQ came out last week, in which he tired to play loyal to the boss while roughing up his bureaucratic rivals. Then, this week, the increased budget request for Iraq went to Congress without any warning to State, leaving Powell humiliated when he'd just been telling Congress there wouldn't a request for months.

Purely coincidentally, today State lets it be known that only Bush's intransigence and unwillingness to apologize kept him from doing it in the day before yesterday's Arab TV interviews when it still might have done some good. You know that Bush, hates to admit he's wrong. But we, the guys at State who are now worried about our reputations when we have to look for new jobs in January, we want the world to know it's not our fault:

A wide variety of officials in the administration had advised Bush to apologize on Wednesday when he gave interviews to two Arab television channels and were puzzled when he did not, senior U.S. officials said. An apology had been recommended in the talking points Bush received from the State Department and elsewhere, the officials said. Senior administration aides then made a push overnight for him to say he was sorry during his news conference with Abdullah, the officials said.

Talk about burying the good stuff in a news article. But wait, there's more fun stuff in the depths of Mike Allen's article.

Also yesterday, the government's chief classifier decided to open an investigation into the appropriateness of classifying the Army's probe of prison abuses. J. William Leonard, director of the Information Security Oversight Office, agreed to a request in a letter from Steven Aftergood of the Federation of American Scientists.

In the letter, Aftergood cited the executive order on classification, No. 12958, as prohibiting the classification of documents solely to “conceal violations of law.” Government documents are supposed to be classified if revealing their contents would harm national security. Senior Pentagon officials have been unable to explain why the report, known as an Article 15-6, was classified. In response to a reporter's question on May 4, Pace said, “I do not know specifically why it was labeled secret.”

At the same news conference, Rumsfeld also was at a loss to explain why the report would be considered secret. “You'd have to ask the classifier,” he said.

Just what is the Information Security Oversight Office? It is adminstratively part of the National Archives — you know the same archives Bush is trying to politicize — although it gets its marching orders (“receive our policy and program guidance”) from the National Security Council (NSC).

Hmm. That would be Condi Rice? Which gives rise to a really evil thought. Suppose the author of the report was the classifier. (Generally, if you have a security clearance and produce a document which relies on secret docs, you have an obligation to make sure the new document is properly classified.) That would be United States Army Major General Antonio M. Taguba, probably not the White House and the NSC's favorite general this week. This wouldn't be an attempt to get him in trouble? Nah. Surely if Eisenhower had someone to hold his underwear when he stepped into it,1 then Major Generals have someone to do the job of classifying documents for them. Yes, stick with the simple explanation: Rats. Ship. Whole lotta water.


1 “To leave his mind and his time free, he had others to do the most basic of human chores for him. He did not dress himself – John Moaney, his valet, put on his underwear, socks, shoes, pants, shirt, jacket and tie.” — Stephen E. Ambrose, Eisenhower, p. 299.

Posted in Iraq Atrocities | 1 Comment

Moore Lied About Dispute With Disney — It Isn’t New

Daniel Drezner has the facts: Michael Moore massages the facts. In fact, it seems Moore just lied to 'improve' his story.

The weird thing is, the original version was a good story too — just not as likely to get headlines. It appears that Moore has a contract with Mirimax, Mirimax wants to distribute the film, Disney won't let it. The difference is that Disney's been consistent on this rather than springing it on Moore.

In other words, Moore manufactured a news hook, and got a lot of headlines. That's pretty shabby. The basic issues — why Disney is against the movie (politics? fear? aesthetic differences?) remain.

I don't think I'll be going to see this movie. But then I didn't go to the last one either.

Update (5/9/04): Moore's reply

Posted in Civil Liberties | 1 Comment

Edward Castronova to Indiana

The Telecommunications Department at Indiana University has just made a a very smart hire.

Congratulations to Edward, and especially to his new colleagues for their discernment.

PS. You may wish to check out his departing rant.

Posted in Virtual Worlds | Comments Off on Edward Castronova to Indiana

Abu Ghraib and the American Pshycho-Sexual Scandal Artery

Digby and Billmon are having a respectful and fascinating disagreement about how the Abu Ghraib scandal will play out. Will it expand to take in the other elements of what Sidney Blumenthal has dubbed the 'New Gulag'? Will the American appetite for a scalp be satisified with Rumsfeld's or will the scandal machine demand more? And are these the same or different questions?

First Blumenthal. Then Billmon. Then the sex.

Continue reading

Posted in Iraq Atrocities, Politics: US: 2004 Election | 5 Comments