OK, here's my first political prediction of the 2008 season. Kinda tame, but you have to start somewhere: stick a fork in McCain, he's done.
For an explanation of only part of the reason, see Jonathan Chiat, McCain goes over to the dark side.
OK, here's my first political prediction of the 2008 season. Kinda tame, but you have to start somewhere: stick a fork in McCain, he's done.
For an explanation of only part of the reason, see Jonathan Chiat, McCain goes over to the dark side.
Is John Edwards (or a staff droid) really using Twitter?
Ross Masyfield, who thinks about this stuff in a much more organized way than I do, says Twitter is tipping the tuna which is his code for a network good tipping into importance (but something less than hitting the bigtime).
Myself, I don't think twitter would improve my life. The last thing I need is more distractions and interruptions.
But it's an interesting phenomenon. “Only connect” morphed into “always connect”.
Here's TPM Muckraker's summary of report by Profs. Donald Shields and John Cragan on the very partisan tilt to Bush appointees' corruption investigations. (This is the report that got mentioned in Paul Kurgman's op-ed today):
A study of reported federal investigations of elected officials and candidates shows that the Bush administration’s Justice Department pursues Democrats far more than Republicans. 79 percent of elected officials and candidates who’ve faced a federal investigation (a total of 379) between 2001 and 2006 were Democrats, the study found – only 18 percent were Republicans. During that period, Democrats made up 50 percent of elected officeholders and office seekers during the time period, and 41 percent were Republicans during that period, according to the study.
It is pretty damning to learn that the US Attorneys who were not fired — presumably because they were more pliable than the Gonzales Eight — were investigating seven Democratic candidates and office-holders for every Republican, but even so, I wish I had a link to the paper because there's a lot more I'd like to know.
How did relative investigation rates compare in previous administrations of both parties?
How do the conviction rates of investigated Dems and Reps today compare with each other and with historical rates?
Armed with these facts, I could figure out whether
(A) the investigation-to-conviction rate for Democrats was as high as for Republicans, suggesting that so many officials in both parties are corrupt that this is a case of political opportunism in a target-rich environment (which would be bad), or
(B) the investigation-to-conviction rate for Democrats was much lower than for Republicans, meaning that honest people were subject to bogus investigations concocted for political gain (which would be much worse). Ditto for historical comparisons.
Plus, if the investigation-to-conviction rate should prove to be lower for Republicans than historically, it suggests that the investigations into Republican wrongdoing were either mis-aimed or mis-handled, for I think it stretches credulity to suggest that today's GOP is less corrupt than yesterday's.
But all this is speculation without more data.
Cartoonist Ben Sargent — a big-time, mainstream syndicated cartoonist — breaks a huge taboo in this cartoon drawn for his hometown paper, the American-Statesman.
Inspired, perhaps, by the evidence that Bush-appointed US attorneys were seven times more likely to investigate Democrats than Republicans, or perhaps inspired only by the general stench coming from the “Gonzales Eight” scandal, Mr. Sargent draws a cartoon that quite clearly equates GOP appointees with jackbooted fascists. There’s no swastika, but we don’t need to be told what that means. It means Nazis.
Until now, any invocation of that parallel has been so taboo that any person making it was immediately voted off pundit island.
I predict, however, that any attempt to make a fuss about Sargent’s cartoon will fizzle.
Here's an easy way to check if your PC is ready for Daylight Savings Time, which will begin this Sunday in most of the US (several weeks ahead of the old schedule).
Click on the Daylight Saving Time (DST) patch tester.
Looks like I'm ready:
Remember, “Spring forward, Fall back.”
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