Category Archives: Econ & Money: Mortgage Mess

Fed’s New Plan Bails Out the Careless, Greedy, and Stupid Banks

Acting in concert with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank, the Fed has announced a new policy governing loans from its discount window: it is going to take securities of dubious and/or unknown value as security for loans.

Under the Term Auction Facility (TAF) program, the Federal Reserve will auction term funds to depository institutions against the wide variety of collateral that can be used to secure loans at the discount window. All depository institutions that are judged to be in generally sound financial condition by their local Reserve Bank and that are eligible to borrow under the primary credit discount window program will be eligible to participate in TAF auctions. All advances must be fully collateralized. By allowing the Federal Reserve to inject term funds through a broader range of counterparties and against a broader range of collateral than open market operations, this facility could help promote the efficient dissemination of liquidity when the unsecured interbank markets are under stress.

This will inject liquidity, stave off deflation (fan inflation? maybe not), and fatten bank balance sheets. Capital for everyone! Especially those who have demonstrated that they can't be trusted with it. (The others won't need it.)

But don't take my word for it.

Interfluidity :: TAF is a really, really big deal:

I agree with several commentators (Felix Salmon, Calculated Risk) that the Bair/Paulson Plan, whatever it is, is not a bailout. But this, this is a bailout,. Nearly all government bailouts take the form of subsidized loans, extending credit at low rates to counterparties or against collateral for which the market would have demanded a high premium. That is precisely what the TAF will do. The Fed's press release claims, of course, that loans will only be available to “sound” banks, and that they will be “fully collateralized”. But no one who can get the same deal from private markets will use this facility. The need for the program arises because private markets are skeptical about the soundness of counterparties and the quality of the assets they have to offer as collateral. The Fed hints at this when it mentions the “wide variety of collateral” that can be used to secure loans. You can bet that whatever it is private lenders are eschewing will be pledged as collateral to the Fed under TAF. The Fed is going to bear private risk that the market refuses to. That is a bailout.

So we're rewarding the people who made dumb choices, and allowing their shareholders who took above-market gains to escape unharmed. Talk about moral hazard.

See also Calculated Risk, Fed and Other Central Banks Inject More Funds into Market.

Posted in Econ & Money: Mortgage Mess | 1 Comment

Calculated Risk on the Paulson-Brokered Voluntary ‘Freeze’ on (Some) ARMs

Calculated Risk, Ten things to know about the Freeze. Actually it gives you eleven. And they all sound right to me.

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Catching Up With the Florida Funds Scandal

Forgot to check in with the Florida funds scandal yesterday.

The local media has finally gotten engaged here, and there are several relevant stories in the Miami Herald, even if they have to get one from the AP rather than reporting it all themselves.

  • AP, Governments continue investment withdrawals; managers positive:

    Local governments withdrew about $560 million of their money from Florida's state-run investment pool Friday, but the beleaguered fund's managers were pleased that figure was about half the amount from a day before.

  • Beatrice Garcia, Citizens assesses its risk: The state-run insurer is the biggest investor in a troubled investment pool, and it wants to reduce its holdings:

    It has about $1.7 billion in Part A of the fund, which has been reopened for withdrawals, and about $260 million in Part B, which remains closed.

    In all, Citizens has about $7 billion of the $10 billion it has stockpiled — in cash, credit lines and borrowings to pay future claims — invested with the State Board of Administration, which runs the investment pool and other funds. It began to move funds over to be managed by the SBA last fall because of its good investment results and also to save money on management fees.

  • Gary Fineout, The State Board of Administration reported that it has more than $2.5 billion in downgraded investments in several accounts, including the state retirement fund. It's a little hard to follow, but it seems that the Local Government Investment Pool (LGIP) may not be the only state-managed fund with problems:

    The SBA said Wednesday the state pension fund has $756 million in investments that have fallen below purchase guidelines, as have more than $800 million in investments that it manages on behalf of Citizens Property Insurance and the Hurricane Catastrophe Fund. The SBA manages nearly $200 billion in its various accounts.

  • In that same story, the local angle: “Donald Nelson, finance director for the City of Coral Gables, which has $32 million frozen in the pool, has plenty of cash to meet obligations, particularly with tax revenues flowing in. Still, he said the city plans Thursday to withdraw $2 million.”

Earlier items:

Not irrelevantly, there's also this amazing piece of news: South Florida homeowners are in trouble, with one in 32 Miami-Dade homes in foreclosure; in Broward, it's one in 30.

I suppose the silver lining is that for all the aspiring faculty to whom we've extended offers this may be a good time to buy. Assuming you plan to hold on to the property for a while….

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Someone’s Feeling Cheerful

Maybe it's my weird sense of humor, but I really enjoyed this video from The Richter Scales, YouTube – Here Comes Another Bubble.

(Spotted via Unfogged.)

Certainly more cheerful than their Fine Line: Sub-Prime Decline

Posted in Econ & Money: Mortgage Mess | 1 Comment

SIV Rot Found in Money Funds

WSJ.com, SIV Exposure Seen at Some Money Funds

Liquidity crisis?

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Details on Florida Fund Restructing (Plus Full List of Bag-Holders)

Via the Miami Herald, Agency head quits as state fund reels, come links to very useful documents for those trying to follow what's happening in the Florida Local Government Investment Pool (LGIP) (administered by the State Board of Administration):

The Herald also highlights some local winners and losers:

Among those who got their money out before the state froze the fund:

Broward County: $227,534,594.02

Broward County School Board: $274,130,570.93

City of Fort Lauderdale: $277,366,602.43

City of Miami: $49,350,000.00

Miami-Dade School Board: $111,879,297.14

Miami-Dade County government: $514,657,752.68

Among those with money still in the fund:

Miami Dade College: $146,026,551.67

Citizens Property Insurance Corporation: $1,974,709,602.79

City of Coral Gables: $32,009,946.93

City of North Lauderdale: $24,566,106.14

Broward Community College: $39,010,779.35

So at a (maximum — could be significantly less if they don't rush to liquidate) 14% haircut, my hometown, Coral Gables, stands to lose up to $4.5 million, and Miami-Dade Community College could lose up to $20 million? Those are big numbers, but I suppose it could have been even worse. The hapless Citizens Insurance remains the biggest potential loser, at up to almost a quarter billion.

Earlier items:

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