Category Archives: Politics: US: 2004 Election

Losing the Techie Vote

It's articles like this one which make me think Kerry is going to win, maybe, just maybe, win big.

O'Reilly Network: Wow. The world is getting strange [May. 08, 2004]

I'm working on my next java.net article and having problems focusing. Why? Well, Richard Monson-Haefel is publicly broadcasting that he's looking for a job (depressing news about the state of the computer industry), the EU is posed to do the software-patent shimmy (ditto), and (and this one boggles me) I just realized that I'm probably going to vote for John Kerry.

As to the latter— I think Don Park nailed it. I didn't think the war was a particularly good idea to start with, but I thought it could be justified. And I'm actually okay with the (so far) non-finding of weapons of mass destruction. And I think that, for better or worse, the US has to stay the course in Iraq. Leaving now, or in the near future, or before Iraq is a stable and functioning society again, would be a very bad decision.

But wow— invading Iraq wasn't a no-brainer when the decision was made, and in hindsight it looks like a very bad idea indeed. Moreover, the follow through in the post-Saddam era is a mess; ; a total failure of foresight and planning. The sort of thing that causes boards to fire CEOs, if you ask me.

And how very depressing to see the recent flood of pathetic commentaries along the lines of America: Not as bad as Saddam. It's hard for me to even respond to most of those articles because they're so deeply steeped in moral corruption (briefly: if you invade a country on humanitarian grounds, and a major part of the justification for this invasion was humanitarian, AND if you want to take the moral high ground when defending the invasion, and the defenders of the invasion did take the moral high ground, then saying “well, the other guys rape too” indicates an inner emptiness that boggles the mind).

All this is subject to revision, of course. I'm well aware that there is a lot of information that hasn't been shared with the public (and a lot of that was probably withheld for good reasons). And that the media has a tendency to over-report sensational news and thereby blow things out of proportion. And the last thing in the world I want to do is post yet another silly article linking rapes in Iraq to the patriot act.

But, from where I'm sitting (very faint voice) Kerry in 2004

The original is full of links, by the way. [corrected @ 5:43pm]

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Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election | 1 Comment

Abu Ghraib and the American Pshycho-Sexual Scandal Artery

Digby and Billmon are having a respectful and fascinating disagreement about how the Abu Ghraib scandal will play out. Will it expand to take in the other elements of what Sidney Blumenthal has dubbed the 'New Gulag'? Will the American appetite for a scalp be satisified with Rumsfeld's or will the scandal machine demand more? And are these the same or different questions?

First Blumenthal. Then Billmon. Then the sex.

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Posted in Iraq Atrocities, Politics: US: 2004 Election | 5 Comments

Kerry’s New Ads

The right sort of Kerry TV Ads for early in the campaign. Not perhaps as good as “Morning Again in America” but not at all bad. Unless of course they get played so often (depending how you spend it, $25 million buys a lot of airtime) people start reaching for things to throw…

Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election | 1 Comment

Is This Ad Effective?

Better Angels of our Nature: Notations argues that “The first great negative ad of this campaign has surfaced.” and provides links to the Windows Media Player version, and the Real Player version.

I don't claim to have my pulse on the finger of the American television-watching people, but is this ad really that good? Or shouldn't someone at least jazz it up a bit with visuals: the flight suit, for example? One of the stills of the flag-draped coffins that just got Tami Silicio—and her husband—fired?

More generally, does Kerry win by going negative or by going positive? The John Edwards campaign (and early Dean) suggests this is a year for positive. On the other hand, Edwards didn't win.

Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election | 1 Comment

The Kerry Rally

We went to the Kerry rally on Sunday. We arrived about the time the seating was supposed to open, that is about an hour and quarter before Kerry was to speak. The line was already enormous, and it doubled at least while we were waiting. Everyone had to pass through metal detectors before being admitted to the outdoor seating/standing area, which took a very very long time and which made me sad and nostalgic for the days when politics was less paranoid.

We were among the last admitted to the roped-off area, and had a very obstructed view. Standing on a small stone wall, I could just see Kerry from the neck up.

Kerry spoke surprisingly well — especially given what I had heard about him as a lackluster stump speaker. He was by no means the best I ever heard, but he was good.

Kerry began by noting that after 9/11 Bush had an opportunity to unify the nation; instead he divided it. The speech had a little more pandering than I would ideally like — especially the trade stuff about his plan to stop subsidizing the export of jobs, and the lengthy list of promises to make college more affordable (which, if I heard it right, actually doesn't amount to that much per person unless the student spends two years in a domestic peace corps-like job either before or after college). It did have more detail and Senatorial reference to programs and such than you would find in the most classic stemwinder, but it never had so much detail that it got boring

The top applause lines were

  • a number of lines about how Bush misled the nation and sent US soldiers off to die without revealing his real motives; [Update: I left out maybe the biggest applause line of this sort: “In America, we fight wars because we have to, not because we choose to.”]
  • the pledge to increase energy independence via a push for alternative fuel sources so that foreign policy is no longer driven by Middle East oil [although even raising this to the 20% of consumption promised would only lessen not eliminate the US's imports];
  • the promise to stop the lies and level with the public;
  • a promise to provide some form of healthcare for the uninsured (here Kerry was almost disingenuous, making it sound like everyone would get the kind of care Senators get; but while saying that is what should happen, I think it's not what he actually promised);
  • the promise to get an Attorney General who is nothing like John Ashcroft;
  • “Within weeks of being inaugurated I will return to the U.N. and I will rejoin the community of nations.”

All these got a lot more applause than the trade stuff or even the college-costs stuff.

The crowd loved him. I left feeling more cheerful about the Democratic nominee then when I arrived, and the whole family clanked a little due to the several nice Kerry buttons we acquired.

Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election, U.Miami | 2 Comments

Sen. Kerry to Speak on Campus this Sunday

University of Miami: College and Young Democrats are hosting a visit by Senator Kerry to the UM campus on Sunday. The efficient Kerry operation also sent me an email:

We invite you to rally with John Kerry on Sunday, April 18th, at the University of Miami.

John Kerry's college tour was a big success. The huge crowds brought a lot of energy and enthusiasm to the campaign. Let's keep the momentum going. There will be a tremendous amount of media at Sunday's rally — let's make Sunday's crowd the biggest yet.

Sunday, April 18th
University of Miami — The Rock
1306 Stanford Drive
Coral Gables, Florida 33146

Doors open at 12:30 PM.

I think I'll take the kids…hope they don't yawn too much … not that we'll be in the center of anything…

Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election | Comments Off on Sen. Kerry to Speak on Campus this Sunday