Category Archives: Politics: US: 2006 Election

Lamont Clears Hurdle to Get on Ballot

He needed 15% of the convention delegates to force a primary for the Senate seat now held by Sen. Joe Lieberman (R-Ct), and despite serious arm-twisting by the city machines, Ned Lamont got a third of the votes. The party discipline was stronger in big towns, plus some of them used winner-take-all to allocate delegates, which I suspect explains why small towns provided most of Lamont’s vote — and means this total under-represents his true strength (which will only grow).

So the primary is on. Lamont could actually win it, too, although I suppose the odds are still against him.

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GOP in Trouble in Florida

St. Petersburg Times Online — The Buzz: For GOP, Perilous Polling:

Florida Republicans could be in deep trouble this cycle. Consider:

–When asked whether they’d prefer Republicans or Democrats to control Congress after November’s elections, 48 percent said Democrats and 38 percent said Republicans. Only 20 percent of independents wanted Republicans in control.
–Not even Jeb Bush could beat Bill Nelson at this point. In a hypothetical matchup 48 percent supported Bill Nelson and 44 percent Bush. Back in November, the same pollster found Bush beating Nelson by 5 percentage points.

And — yes! — Harris stays in the race.

Posted in Florida, Politics: US: 2006 Election | 2 Comments

Patriot (Act) Games

As far as I’m concerned, all the coverage of the congressional games about how many months in the temporary extension of the Patriot Act (complete with controversial bits) ignores the aspect which interests me most. Take, for example, this Washington Post article, House Passes One-Month Extension of Patriot Act. Nowhere does it mention that the Senate’s move from a three months to a six months struck terror into the ranks of both parties in the House.

It’s possible of course that the article doesn’t mention this terror because it does not exist, but I bet it does. It’s only logical. And that explains why the House GOP has cut the extension to one month: because they are afraid of their constituents. And it explains why the House Democrats have meekly gone along: because they are afraid of their constituents too.

See, six months from expiration brings us to June, which uncomfortably close to the next congressional election. The GOP doesn’t want hard questions being asked them about ‘why did you vote to spy on me, Congressman’. But the House dems don’t want attacks about ‘why did you vote against catching terrorists’ or the like. So both parties in the House have decided it’s in their self-interest to get this over with as fast as possible.

They two parties represent different groups of areas, so it’s theoretically possible that both parties are broadly right about their own constituents. But that would be weird indeed.

It is far more likely that one of these parties is wrong about what their voters think. Which? I think here, the Democrats are wrong: the GOP has much more to lose on this issue. The six month extension struck me a brilliant stroke by Reid et al, another sign that he’s running rings around Sen. Frist. I’m sorry to see it being reduced to a month; the only bright spot is that with the holidays, and the NSA scandal, that may not help matters for the GOP much at all.

Posted in Politics: US: 2006 Election | 3 Comments

Something Cheerful?

Memo to self: must not get hopeful again.

But, but, but, MyDD :: Democratic Independence Grows is actually plausible. And served cold too.

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Who Will Run Against Ros-Lehtinen? (All Politics Is Local)

There’s a Late Byzantine feel to America these days: corrupt leaders stealing what they can, infrastructure crumbling, people dying in the (flooded) street, distant losing wars far away, governmental torture, waste, fraud, internecine disputes among the leadership.

When the levee broke, any illusion one might have of even minimal competence in this administration washed away with it. I lead a privileged life, not least because I have tenure in a law school, which gives me both the time and the obligation to think about how we can organize our society so we live better. But it doesn’t take that luxury to understand just how badly the United States has been abused by the people currently in power. How, I keep wondering, can I most effectively stand up for decency, for a government that makes lives better, that protects the weak, children, the elderly, that stands for something better than torture and cutting taxes on multi-millionaires today so that we can incur more debts that inevitably will become taxes borne by my children tomorrow?

I live far from the centers of power. How then to respond to this mess in Washington from out here in the hinterland? I think it’s primarily a function of temperament. Some people will dream or plot revolution; some will join cults. Many will say it’s hopeless and cultivate their gardens. Others will turn to drink. And some others will do something a little more productive. Me, I’m a pretty moderate and bourgeois guy at heart. The system hasn’t been bad to me, and while I see warts in it, I also see virtue. I especially like American ideals of freedom and justice, of a government of laws, of protection of liberty (and yes, thus of property), of a mutual commitment to live and let live so that each can engage in his or her own pursuit of happiness. It’s our leadership’s colossal failure to live up to those ideals, to be even half of what we could be, to instead be such a lead weight on the nation, that gets me so steamed. I’m not your cultist or revolutionary. I don’t have a green thumb. And I can’t really hold my liquor all that well. That leaves electronic pamphleteering and organizing.

I’m aware that one of the biggest reasons we’re in such a pickle is that we have serious problems with our electoral system. It’s not just that money talks much louder than it should; nor is it simply that most of the major electronic media outlets are owned by radical right-wingers. Several are transparently managed in a politically biased manner which relies on a combination of lies, distraction. and suppression of inconvenient people and facts. Combine all that with the terrible voting system and, perhaps worst of all, serious systematic gerrymandering and you get the Congress we have: a body in which the large majority of members are elected for life, or nearly so, at least so long as they truckle properly to the sources of re-election cash.

But if you persist in caring, and you won’t drown your sorrows in a bottle, nor host clandestine meetings, politics is the only game in town.

Continue reading

Posted in Miami, Politics: FL-18, Politics: US: 2006 Election | 13 Comments

Hostage to Fortune: 2006 Election Forecast

Live dangerously: I predict the GOP will do badly in the 2006 federal elections. The signs are there.

Unfortunately, this doesn't have obvious implications for the 2008 elections. I don't think Hilary Clinton would be a good candidate, in part because I don't think she'd be a good President. And so much depends on who the nominee is.

Posted in Politics: US: 2006 Election | 14 Comments