Category Archives: Politics: US: 2008 Elections

The Question Is, How Catching Is It?

This funny Obama commercial is by MoveOn. The question is, is this thing catching, or are we immune?

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Free Obama Buttons Via Move On

Free Obama button!

Vote Obama '08 Button image


Get Your Free Button

They will ask for a phone number, email, and a shipping address, so I imagine this might have some junk mail/e-mail consequences unless you opt-out. Move On's full privacy policy is here.

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Matt Stoller Talks Sense About Obama’s Fundraising

Open Left:: Obama Blows Out the Pundits with a 50M Quarter. I especially like this part:

At any rate, the whining from DC pundits about how the left was undermining Obama's chances at winning was absolutely wrong. His small dollar donor army wants him in that White House, and they are going to pay to put him there. While it's often impossible for consultants in DC to keep multiple thoughts in their head, it is possible for most of us normal bluggers and blug readers to get that we don't like his vote on FISA but we want him to win the White House desperately anyway.

Posted from the back of the room in the Open Left caucus at Netroot Nations.

Note: Darcy Burner is in the room and got a big, big round of applause.

Update: Joe Garcia dropped by – and got a very warm round of applause too. Matt Stoller asked him how the energy issue is playing in FL-25. Joe said, first, Bush always sets up the issue as a Hobbsean choice – only bad options: they've set up a crisis and forced you to make a crisis decision. … Why haven't home energy bills gone up as fast as gas prices? Because of long-range planning. … Why hasn't the department of Energy done planning? … Bush has been stripping alternative energy from energy bills… They [create a crisis] to give oil companies even more leases. … We have to explore alternatives … wind, coal, solar, including nuclear …

With the price of oil at this level, all those alternative energies are viable…

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Running for Office, XKCD Style

XKCD is a great online comic strip.

This guy from Kansas has appropriated the XKCD style to power his campaign for State Representative. It's cute. See Running for Office: It's Like A Flamewar with a Forum Troll, but with an Eventual Winner.

I wonder if XKCD approves?

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Local Democrats Winning the Funds Race

Joe Garcia isn't the only local Democrat who had a good fundraising quarter.

And Mario Diaz-Balart isn't the only local Republican who had a very bad quarter. It's striking just how poorly the incumbents' fundraising is going. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen retains a huge advantage from the $1.8 million she had stockpiled before the campaign began — but it's amazing how her funding seems to be drying up. The others also have a serious cash cushion. But the gap is shrinking…

As the Herald puts it, Miami GOP congressional incumbents outraised again.

District 18
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen – R
Net Contributions for the quarter: $281,087
Net Contributions for election cycle: $1,119,122
Cash on hand: $1,893,392

Annette Taddeo – D
Net Contributions for the quarter: $324,829*
Net Contributions for election cycle: $289,286
Cash on hand*: $457,105
*Ms. Taddeo has loaned her campaign $350,000 to date, including $170,000 this quarter.

District 21
Lincoln Diaz-Balart – R
Net Contributions for the quarter: $324,215
Net Contributions for election cycle: $1,158,451
Cash on hand: $1,755,490

Raul Martinez – D
Net Contributions for the quarter: $600,529
Net Contributions for election cycle: $1,217,195
Cash on hand: $1,079,068

District 25
Mario Diaz-Balart – R
Net Contributions for the quarter: $234,320
Net Contributions for election cycle: $746,985
Cash on hand: $1,044,586

Joe Garcia – D
Net Contributions for the quarter: $492,749
Net Contributions for election cycle: $824,196
Cash on hand: $700,983

I predict Taddeo's next quarter will be substantially better than this one, as her name recognition in the district grows, and as she continues to rack up national endorsements.

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Miami Wakes Up to Political Normality (This is Good for Democrats)

David Rieff has a long piece in tomorrow's NYT magazine about Cuban-American politics in Miami, provocatively titled, Will Little Havana Go Blue?.

The main conclusions track what those of us who live here see around us: Cuban-American politics are being changed by a generational shift (a rising generation that is American first and treats its hyphen much they way other ethnic groups do), and a political differences between recent immigrants and the revanchists who have been here 40-50 years. The recent escapees are much less willing to support policies that prevent them sending money to relatives left behind, and which limit their ability to visit their families still trapped in Cuba.

The result is a breakage of the monolithic support for the GOP and for its candidates. Particularly hurt are the Diaz-Balart brothers, who suffer from poor constituent services and a failure to bring home the kind of bacon that their storied predecessors — Claude Pepper, Dante Fascell — did.

Although Rieff doesn't address this directly, it turns out that Joe Garcia's vicious mockery of the Diaz-Balarts as a “one trick pony” may be right on the mark.

Rieff's piece contains another bit of wisdom. Miami's shift to normal politics away from unthinking equation of the GOP as the natural home for Cuban-Americans does not mean automatic victory for Democrats.

The lesson for local campaigners is obvious: Cuban-Americans being up for grabs means that they will need to be addressed in the same way as other swing constituencies: with appeals on the issues they care about (housing, jobs, health, social security, as well as Cuba) and — and this is probably key — turnout will rule. The community is no longer monolithic. Just like with many other communities that means whoever gets out their voters will win.

It's going to be a turnout election down here.

Posted in Miami, Politics: FL-25/FL-27, Politics: US: 2008 Elections | 4 Comments